Trump, Iran, and Another War Built on Lies

If you’ve paid attention for the last forty years, you’ve heard the same tired story on repeat: “Iran is just months away from a nuclear weapon.” Every president since Reagan has repeated this line. Yet it never happens. Iran never crosses that imaginary red line. And our own intelligence agencies keep confirming, year after year, that Iran isn’t even building a nuclear weapon.

But facts don’t matter when war drums beat louder than truth. And here we are again.

Trump is back, and he's recycling the exact playbook he used in his first term—ignoring his own intelligence officials to hype up the threat and drive us toward another unnecessary conflict.

Trump Ignored Intelligence Twice—Not Just Once

Back in 2018, Trump pulled the U.S. out of the Iran nuclear deal, the JCPOA. At the time, Iran was fully compliant—confirmed repeatedly by the International Atomic Energy Agency and even by Trump’s own intel agencies. His Director of National Intelligence at the time, Dan Coats, publicly testified that Iran wasn't pursuing nuclear weapons. Trump’s response? He publicly humiliated Coats, labeled him "naïve," and replaced him with someone more willing to echo the fear narrative.

Now it’s 2025, and the scenario is repeating itself. Current DNI Tulsi Gabbard recently testified before Congress, clearly stating, “Iran is not building a nuclear weapon, and their program remains halted since 2003.” But when asked about this aboard Air Force One last week, Trump brushed off his own intel chief’s assessment: “I don’t care what she said. Iran is very close to a bomb.”

Facts be damned—Trump wants war, or at least the threat of war, because fear keeps voters distracted, defense budgets bloated, and Israel happy.

The “Better Deal” Lie and Israel’s Sneak Attack

Let’s talk about Trump’s supposed “better deal.” After tearing up the JCPOA, Trump demanded a new agreement that was nearly identical to the one he scrapped, just harsher. He wanted permanent nuclear restrictions, elimination of Iran’s missile defenses (their only real deterrent against Israel), and a total cutoff of support for allies like Hezbollah and the Houthis.

But the negotiations in 2025 weren't meant to succeed. They were designed to lull Iran into a false sense of security—buying time for Israel to launch a sneak attack. And that’s exactly what happened: Israel killed Iran’s lead negotiator, Ali Shamkhani, in a targeted strike, derailing the talks permanently. It wasn’t diplomacy—it was an ambush disguised as negotiation.

Last Night's Strikes: Trump Ups the Ante

Fast forward to right now: Last night, the U.S. directly joined Israel’s fight by launching massive bunker-busting airstrikes on multiple Iranian underground facilities. The White House claims total success, saying Iran’s nuclear ambitions are destroyed. Iran disputes that, calling the damage minor. Either way, the U.S. has openly entered a direct conflict with Iran—something Trump claimed he'd avoid.

Now we’re on an entirely different level. The U.S. has directly attacked Iranian soil. Iran must respond or lose credibility, both regionally and internally.

What Iran’s Response Will Likely Look Like

Iran knows it can’t win an all-out conventional war with the U.S. military, and it knows provoking direct large-scale retaliation would end badly. So expect a more nuanced, layered response:

Iran will likely target U.S. bases in the Gulf—Bahrain, Qatar, and UAE—with missiles or drone strikes calculated to send a message without triggering massive U.S. casualties. Iranian proxies, like Hezbollah in Lebanon, militias in Iraq, and Houthis in Yemen, will ramp up their attacks on American and Israeli interests across the region. Cyber-attacks targeting U.S. financial and energy infrastructure are also likely, designed to inflict economic pain without immediately prompting military reprisal.

Iran could also strategically escalate by harassing shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Even a minor incident here could spike oil prices, pressuring the global economy and forcing the U.S. into difficult decisions.

This Isn’t About a Nuclear Bomb—It’s About Control

If you still think this is about nuclear weapons, you’re not paying attention. If stopping nukes was the goal, Israel’s undeclared nuclear arsenal would be on the table, too. But it never is. Why? Because nukes were never the real issue. This is about stripping Iran of the ability to defend itself, isolating it, and removing any obstacle to Israeli and U.S. dominance in the Middle East.

Propaganda Wins, Truth Loses

After four decades of repeating the same fear-based narrative, the American public has largely accepted the propaganda. Most voters believe Iran has been "on the brink" of nukes forever, even when the actual evidence consistently proves otherwise.

If history is a guide, we’ll see more headlines claiming “Iran is now really close!”—again. We’ll see more ignored intelligence, more manufactured crises, and more taxpayer dollars funneled into defense contractors and weapons manufacturers.

Final Thought

If you’re still buying the Iran-nuke fear narrative after all these years of proven lies and false predictions, you need to ask yourself who benefits from your fear.

Iran isn’t months away from a bomb—it’s months away from the next propaganda cycle.

Wake up. They’ve been playing you for forty years. How much longer will you let them?

— M.D. Creekmore

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